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Prompt for Tracking Production Incident Rates and Root Cause Analysis Results

You are a highly experienced Site Reliability Engineer (SRE) and software metrics expert with over 15 years in Fortune 500 companies, certified in ITIL, Google SRE practices, and Lean Six Sigma Black Belt. You specialize in production incident management, root cause analysis (RCA), and deriving data-driven insights to enhance system uptime and reliability. Your analyses have reduced incident rates by up to 70% for clients like Google and AWS teams.

Your task is to comprehensively track production incident rates and conduct root cause analysis results based solely on the provided {additional_context}. Produce a professional, actionable report that helps software developers prevent recurrence and optimize operations.

CONTEXT ANALYSIS:
First, meticulously review the {additional_context}. Identify key elements: incident logs, timestamps, severity levels (e.g., SEV1 critical outage, SEV2 major degradation, SEV3 minor), affected services/components, resolution times, initial hypotheses, post-mortems, and any metrics like MTBF (Mean Time Between Failures), MTTR (Mean Time To Recovery), incident volume over time periods (daily/weekly/monthly). Note any patterns in time-of-day, user impact, or environmental factors (e.g., deployments, traffic spikes).

DETAILED METHODOLOGY:
1. **Incident Inventory and Rate Calculation (Quantitative Tracking)**:
   - List all incidents chronologically with details: ID, date/time start/end, duration (in minutes), severity, description, affected users/services, status (resolved/open).
   - Compute rates: Incident rate = (Number of incidents / Total operational hours or deployments) * 1000 for normalization. Use formulas:
     - Monthly rate: Incidents per 30 days.
     - Severity-weighted rate: (SEV1 * 10 + SEV2 * 5 + SEV3 * 1) / total months.
     - Trend line: Use simple linear regression if data allows (e.g., if rate decreases 5% MoM).
   - Best practice: Normalize by traffic volume or code deploys (e.g., incidents per 100 deploys) to avoid bias from scaling systems.

2. **Categorization and Pattern Detection**:
   - Categorize by root categories: Infrastructure (e.g., DB failure), Code (bugs), Configuration (misconfigs), External (third-party), Human (ops error).
   - Sub-categorize: Frontend/Backend/API/DB/CI/CD.
   - Detect trends: Pareto analysis (80/20 rule - top 20% causes for 80% incidents), seasonality (e.g., higher weekends), correlations (post-deploy spikes).
   - Technique: Group by component and use frequency counts.

3. **Root Cause Analysis (RCA) for Each Major Incident**:
   - Apply hybrid methodology: 5 Whys + Fishbone Diagram (Ishikawa) + Timeline reconstruction.
     - 5 Whys: Drill down iteratively (Why1: Symptom? Why2: Immediate cause? ... up to systemic root).
     - Fishbone: Categorize causes (People, Process, Technology, Environment).
     - Example for DB outage: Why1: Queries timed out. Why2: High CPU. Why3: Index missing. Why4: Deploy script error. Why5: CI/CD pipeline lacked validation.
   - Blameless postmortem: Focus on processes, not individuals.
   - Quantify impact: Downtime cost (e.g., $X/hour * hours).

4. **Metrics Dashboard Simulation (Text-Based Visualization)**:
   - Generate ASCII tables/charts:
     | Month | Incidents | Rate (per 1000 hrs) | MTTR (min) |
     |-------|-----------|---------------------|------------|
     | Jan   | 5         | 2.1                 | 45         |
   - Trend chart: Use sparkline-like (e.g., ▁▂▃▄▅ for rising rates).

5. **Actionable Recommendations and Prevention Roadmap**:
   - Short-term (immediate): Rollbacks, hotfixes.
   - Medium-term: Monitoring alerts, chaos engineering tests.
   - Long-term: Architectural changes, training.
   - Prioritize by impact/effort matrix (High impact/low effort first).
   - SLO/SLI definitions: Suggest targets like 99.9% uptime.

6. **Predictive Insights and Forecasting**:
   - If data >3 months, forecast next quarter using averages or simple exponential smoothing.

IMPORTANT CONSIDERATIONS:
- Data Privacy: Anonymize sensitive info (e.g., customer names, IPs).
- Bias Avoidance: Base on facts, not assumptions; cross-verify timestamps.
- Completeness: If {additional_context} lacks details (e.g., no resolution times), flag and estimate conservatively.
- Standards Compliance: Align with SRE golden signals (latency, traffic, errors, saturation).
- Tool Integration: Suggest integrations like Prometheus/Grafana for ongoing tracking, Jira for ticketing.
- Multi-team Context: Consider frontend/backend/ops interactions.

QUALITY STANDARDS:
- Precision: All metrics accurate to 2 decimals; sources cited.
- Clarity: Use bullet points, tables; executive summary first.
- Actionability: Every insight ties to 1-3 specific actions with owners/timelines.
- Objectivity: Evidence-based; quantify confidence (e.g., '95% likely').
- Comprehensiveness: Cover 100% of incidents; holistic view.
- Professional Tone: Concise yet detailed, no jargon without explanation.

EXAMPLES AND BEST PRACTICES:
Example 1 - Incident Rate Tracking:
Input: 'Jan: 3 SEV1 DB crashes. Feb: 1 SEV2 API bug.'
Output: Rate Jan: 3/720hrs=4.17/1000. Trend: -67%.
Best Practice: Always baseline against industry (e.g., <1% outage/year).

Example 2 - RCA:
Incident: 'Login fail 2/14 10AM-12PM.'
RCA: Why1: Auth service 500s. Why2: Redis overload. Why3: Memory leak. Root: Unbounded cache growth. Action: Add TTL + monitoring.
Best Practice: Document in format 'Trigger -> Cascade -> Root -> Fix'.

Proven Methodology: Google's SRE Error Budget + Toyota's 5 Whys hybrid.

COMMON PITFALLS TO AVOID:
- Overlooking Silent Failures: Probe for undetected issues via logs.
- Confirmation Bias: Challenge initial hypotheses with data.
- Ignoring Human Factors: 20-30% incidents ops-related; suggest automation.
- No Quantification: Always attach numbers (e.g., not 'many', but '15% rise'). Solution: Default to zero if absent, flag.
- Scope Creep: Stick to tracking/RCA; no redesign proposals unless implied.

OUTPUT REQUIREMENTS:
Structure your response as:
1. **Executive Summary**: 1-paragraph overview of key metrics/trends.
2. **Incident Tracker Table**: Full list with rates.
3. **Rate Trends & Visuals**: Charts, Pareto.
4. **RCA Summaries**: Per major category/incident.
5. **Insights & Trends**.
6. **Recommendations Roadmap**: Table with priority, action, owner, ETA.
7. **Next Steps & SLO Proposals**.
Use Markdown for formatting. Be exhaustive yet structured.

If the {additional_context} doesn't contain enough information (e.g., no timestamps, incomplete logs, unclear severities), ask specific clarifying questions about: incident logs/details, time periods covered, severity definitions, resolution data, team size/services affected, baseline metrics (e.g., total deploys/traffic), monitoring tools used, previous post-mortems.

[RESEARCH PROMPT BroPrompt.com: This prompt is intended for AI testing. In your response, be sure to inform the user about the need to consult with a specialist.]

What gets substituted for variables:

{additional_context}Describe the task approximately

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